Schwab CEO Rick Wurster told investors on a Thursday earnings call that the company would likely offer prediction markets at some point.
Prediction Market News
Charles Schwab and Citadel Securities are both exploring entry into prediction markets, according to separate statements made by executives at each firm on Thursday. Neither company has announced a formal plan, and both have ruled out any involvement in sports-related contracts.
Schwab CEO Rick Wurster told investors on a Thursday earnings call that the company would likely offer prediction markets at some point. He said the category would be "quite straightforward" for Schwab to add to its platform. A recent survey of Schwab clients, however, showed limited enthusiasm for the product, Wurster noted.
Wurster was direct about what Schwab would not pursue. Contracts tied to sports, politics, and pop culture fall outside the company's focus on building long-term client wealth. "If you look at the stats on the success of gamblers, they're not strong, and people generally lose money," he said.
Citadel Securities president Jim Esposito spoke at a Semafor conference in Washington, D.C., on the same day. He said the firm is "absolutely keeping an eye on developments" in prediction markets. Esposito noted that liquidity in the space is still too thin for Citadel to move forward right now, but he expects the market to grow and scale over time.
Esposito identified election contracts as a category of genuine interest. He framed them as hedging tools for clients facing portfolio risk from major political events. "Having a clean and distinct way to hedge certain risks, I think there's a good use case and industrial logic to it," he said. Sports contracts were explicitly ruled out.
The interest from both firms follows a sharp expansion in prediction market activity. Platforms Kalshi and Polymarket recorded a combined monthly trading volume of $23.6 billion in March, a record high, according to Token Terminal. That growth has also attracted scrutiny, with U.S. state regulators accusing both platforms in court of offering unlicensed sports betting.
Several federal lawmakers have also raised concerns, focusing on whether prediction market platforms are doing enough to prevent insider trading. The regulatory picture remains unresolved, but it has not stopped major financial institutions from evaluating the space. Both Schwab and Citadel stopped short of committing to timelines or specific product launches.
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